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Course management and weather the keys to how Woods will do at Open

By Bill Lyon / Knight-Ridder Newspapers

It has never been established precisely who invented golf, or where and when, and, of course, only God knows why.

But the Scots are more willing than most to take responsibility. And they seem the most likely suspects because Scots believe that it is the unavoidable fate of man to suffer, and never more so than when he goes out to enjoy himself.

Now is that golf, or what?

You have never really been properly humbled until you have stood over your second shot on a wild swatch of tumbling linksland, squinted into a sea breeze at the green far off, and had this conversation with your caddie, one of those dour little gnomes who have an abhorrence of pretense in any form:

You: "Can I get there with a 5 iron?"

Him: "Eventually."

Now to the cradle of golf comes Tiger Woods, yearning to be the hand that rocks the cradle.

They are a hard sell, the Scots. But you sense that they are eager to hand over their hearts to the Fifth Beatle.

They admire excellence and craftsmanship, and so all Woods has to do to win them over is win their national golfing championship. That would be the British Open, which begins Thursday at Royal Troon, a gray and melancholy course in the sea-scoured west of Scotland.

This is how capricious and difficult golf is, and this is how difficult the British Open is: Woods could win it, and he could just as easily miss the cut.

Troon is far more difficult than Augusta National, which Woods left in flames when he won The Masters in April, and, if more forgiving, certainly no less punishing than Congressional, site of last month's U.S. Open, in which Woods got thoroughly schooled and finished 19th.

It seems inevitable that in the next couple of decades Woods will win a British Open or five, but whether this is the first one depends on what at the moment is seen as the weakest part of his game: course management.

British Open golf is a bouncier brand than Americans are accustomed to, and on British Open courses the ball is played on the ground almost as much as it is in the air. Proper trajectory is crucial.

Those high lob shots that Woods sends halfway to heaven, the ones that come down as delicately as spider webbing, are of no use in places like Troon, where the wind comes slashing in off the Irish Sea and sends approaches of altitude scuttling off line and into death spirals into the heather and the gorse, to those bleak places that cause the Scottish caddy to shake his head and mutter a one-word obituary: "Unrecoverable."

No, in a British Open you have to get down under the wind, and that requires playing a lot of bump-and-run.

In the process, you leave yourself vulnerable to the vagaries of terrain and luck.

Woods can play bump-and-run. That's not the question. The question is whether he can play it skillfully enough to win the oldest championship in golf, in the place that gave birth to the game, on a course he had not seen until this past week.

Being long and inordinately high with your approach irons does not automatically reduce your chances in a British Open. After all, Jack Nicklaus and Tom Watson hit the ball unusually high, and between them they have won eight British Opens.

We already know what Woods can do to pedestrian tournament courses: Reduce them to kindling. We know what he can do to Augusta National: burn it to the ground. We know what he can't do - yet - at a U.S. Open course. Now we will find out if he can adjust his game to the conditions and the circumstances, which, in every sport, ultimately is what separates great from good, and genius from great.

And we might find out if he can play in foul weather. The British Open, especially when held in Scottish seaside settings, almost always includes rain and chill and what the Scots fondly call a "hooley." This is a howling gale just above the rank of tempest and just short of actual whitecaps splashing onto the greens.

His prodigious driving distance will be of some help, of course, but Troon has only three par-5s and plays to a level of 71.

This is Woods' first British Open as a professional; he played twice as an amateur, never finishing better than 22d. And yet the bookmakers have established him as the 6-to-1 favorite, even ahead of more seasoned players such as Ernie Els, who has won two U.S. Opens, and Colin Montgomerie, the home-village hero born very close to Troon, plus the usual assortment of Greg Normans and Nick Prices.

So the books have made official what the rest of us have known for months now: Woods is the sport.

And how will Tiger-mania play in Europe?

Well, the Troon bookmakers have accepted a wager of a different sort involving Woods - whether he will become president of the United States. They have picked the year 2020 as the outside and have set the odds at 1,000-to-1.

There have been takers.

And back in March, the organizers of this Open, playing to Woods' appeal to a previously untapped audience, decided to offer free admission to those younger than 18. Already his galleries dwarf Arnie's Army, and on Sunday when the gallery ropes come down after the approach shots have been struck on the 18th, if Woods is in the last twosome, the whole island may be submerged by the stampede.

If he wins, golf prospers.

If he loses, golf prospers.

If he wins, the following will only swell.

If he loses, golfers will feel momentarily reassured - "see, our game really isn't that easy."

If he wins, it will be simply further validation.

If he loses, it will merely be part of his continuing education.

So Tiger at Troon becomes that rarest and most welcome of sporting events. No downside.

(Bill Lyon is a sports columnist for the Philadelphia Inquirer. Write to him at: The Philadelphia Inquirer, 400 North Broad Street, Philadelphia, Pa. 19130.)

(c) 1997, The Philadelphia Inquirer.

Visit Philadelphia Online, the Inquirer's World Wide Web site, at http://www.phillynews.com/

Distributed by Knight-Ridder/Tribune Information Services.

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